Validation Benchmark

The inventory equations are calibrated against four independent OpenMC depletion campaigns and verified by three independent tests (a blind test + two out-of-envelope real designs) — across the full SMR operating-power range (≤300 MWe ≈ ≤1000 MWth) the equation-to-code deviation never exceeds 1.5%.

Independent validation points74 calibrations + blind test + 2 extrapolations
Max deviation1.5%CAREM-25 · Cs-137 — mechanism quantified
Validated power range100–1000MWthfull SMR band (≤300 MWe)
IRIS extrapolation4/41000 MWth integral PWR · pre-registered predictions

The equations compute the core inventory correctly across the entire SMR definition band — from 100 up to 1000 MWth (≈300 MWe equivalent) of operating power: the calibration comes from four designs spanning 100–530 MWth; the IRIS test carries validity to the top of the band. In every test the predictions were pinned BEFORE the run (pre-registered) — no tuning to the outcome.

Calibrated Effective Yields

4 campaigns · ENDF/B-VII.1 chain · coefficient band ±1%

Effective yields deviate from pure U-235 yields because part of the fissions in burnt fuel come from Pu-239 (a +15% correction for I-131). That the coefficient band stays within ±1% although the four designs use three different fuel-management schemes is the numerical proof that saturated inventory depends on power alone.

Nuclidey (U-235 thermal)y_eff (calibrated)Coefficient
Xe-1330.06610.06942.166×10¹⁵ Bq/MWth
I-1310.028780.03311.032×10¹⁵ Bq/MWth
I-1330.06700.06892.151×10¹⁵ Bq/MWth
Cs-1370.06151.21×10¹¹ Bq/(MWth·EFPD)

Calibration Campaigns — Equation vs OpenMC

EOC equilibrium core · four designs · spot checks

CampaignNuclideEquation (Bq)OpenMC (Bq)Ratio
FLEXBLUE 530 MWthXe-1331.148×10¹⁸1.143×10¹⁸1.004
FLEXBLUE 530 MWthI-1315.47×10¹⁷5.43×10¹⁷1.008
FLEXBLUE 530 MWthCs-1376.93×10¹⁶6.95×10¹⁶0.997
NuScale 200 MWthXe-1334.33×10¹⁷4.35×10¹⁷0.996
NuScale 200 MWthCs-1372.74×10¹⁶2.74×10¹⁶1.000
mPower 530 MWthI-1331.140×10¹⁸1.136×10¹⁸1.004
mPower 530 MWthCs-1377.96×10¹⁶7.99×10¹⁶0.997
ACP100 385 MWthI-1313.97×10¹⁷3.98×10¹⁷0.998
ACP100 385 MWthCs-1375.51×10¹⁶5.50×10¹⁶1.002

Blind Test & Out-of-Envelope Extrapolation

OpenMC / equation ratio · predictions pinned before the run

NuclideVSMR-300 (blind · 300 MWth)CAREM-25 (↓ 100 MWth)IRIS (↑ 1000 MWth)
Xe-1330.9980.9940.998
I-1311.0020.9991.003
I-1330.9990.9960.997
Cs-1371.0051.0150.987

CAREM-25 sits below the envelope on five axes (including a hexagonal lattice); IRIS sits above it in power, core height and core age (a 1000 MWth integral PWR — the thermal equivalent of the SMR definition threshold). The Cs-137 deviations at the two ends are two faces of one mechanism: the calibrated y_eff embeds the decay loss of ~1100–1240-day irradiations; for short irradiation the correction is smaller (CAREM +1.5%), for long it grows (IRIS −1.3%) — the single-parameter (1−e^(−λT))/(λT) ratio predicts 0.9875 for IRIS, measured 0.9873. The I-133 row is covered by the method; it is not yet carried by the dispersion engines.